Beginner

Case Study: Crude Oil's Negative Price Event of 2020

On 20 April 2020, the expiring WTI crude oil futures contract on the CME did something that had never happened before: it settled at minus $37.63 a barrel. Sellers were paying buyers to take oil off their hands. Hours earlier, on India's own MCX, the May crude contract had already settled at minus Rs 2,884 a barrel, a shock that wiped out accounts and triggered a wave of broker disputes. This case study builds up from first principles, what a futures contract actually promises, why storage costs create contango, why COVID-era demand collapse filled every storage tank on earth, and then walks through exactly how and why the price went negative on both exchanges. It closes with the practical lessons for Indian retail traders: what changed in margin and circuit rules after the event, and a simple framework for deciding whether commodity futures belong in your portfolio at all.

Crude Oil FuturesMCX Commodity TradingContango and BackwardationMargin and LeverageCommodity Case Study
MODULES
3
DURATION
~1.5 hrs
TRACK
Alternative Investing

What You'll Master

What a futures contract actually obligates you to do, and why expiry and physical settlement matter
Contango versus backwardation, and how storage costs shape the futures curve
Why COVID-era demand collapse in early 2020 filled global storage capacity to its limits
The full timeline of the WTI May 2020 contract's collapse to minus $37.63 a barrel on the CME
How MCX crude oil independently settled at minus Rs 2,884, hours before the US close, and why Indian brokers and exchanges reacted the way they did
The mechanics that let a price go negative: physical delivery obligations, storage capacity, and who was left holding a contract nobody wanted
What changed in margin rules and exchange practice after the event, and a simple framework for deciding whether to trade commodity futures at all
Access Level
LEARNER
Everything included
Full Text Playbooks
Actionable Exercises
Mobile Reading Mode
Lifetime Updates

Curriculum Breakdown