Case Study: The 2022 UK Gilt Crisis and Pension Fund Contagion
A step-by-step case study for investors and finance professionals who want the macro context behind one of the sharpest bond market breakdowns in a major economy. In September 2022 the UK government announced large unfunded tax cuts, long-dated gilt yields jumped at a speed rarely seen in a developed market, and pension funds running liability-driven investment (LDI) strategies were hit with collateral calls they could only meet by selling more gilts. Start with how gilts, defined benefit pensions and leveraged LDI hedges fit together. Then follow the 2022 inflation and rate-hike backdrop, the mini-budget itself and the duration maths behind the price fall. Trace how collateral calls turned into a self-reinforcing doom loop, how sterling and mortgage markets were pulled in, and how the Bank of England stepped in as buyer of last resort while the government reversed course. Close by comparing the UK set-up with India's pension, insurance and G-Sec markets, the Indian episodes of hidden leverage and liquidity mismatch, and a practical checklist for reading fiscal and bond market risk in your own portfolio.